Your article Anil was an interesting read Anil. Thank you. Just a few points I thought would be useful to analyze and summarize the election results - 1. Religious propagation will not be the main reason for supporting by the majority community. 2. The I.N.D.I.A. alliance worked in UP and Maharashtra. 3. Giving tickets to defectors from other parties, accepting a tainted leader like Ajit Pawar and making him Dy CM in Maharashtra, demoralized the loyalists within BJP. 4. Making unnecessary derogatory remarks about Muslims, in order to please certain sections in the majority community, was a mistake. In 2019, the triple talaq issue had brought sections of the Muslim community, especially women, closer to BJP. That prudence was missing this time. 5. However, the results in Odisha, Karnataka, MP, Bihar, Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Rajasthan Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh were very encouraging for the BJP and the results in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Kerala were below expectations. The State governments in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha were further areas of consolidation. The huge infrastructure development expenditure in UP, has not delivered the anticipated election result, as the investment has not translated into jobs; but perhaps in the future this may bear fruit. Overall the election results of 2024 are still in the process of complete analysis, as it is a complex verdict. Look forward to your write up next Monday 😊
Thank you for your thoughts. Your points are well taken. Though I am not sure we can splice voting preferences nationally. Simply because what works well in one state will not work in another. In this general election, the BJP has actually done very well in expanding its footprint to Kerala and the South. Agree with you about turncoats being taken in to speed up inorganic growth of the BJP. It is a tricky call at the same time. The BJP is on the ascendancy. It is already the principal pole of Indian politics and is the party to beat. Guess the BJP leadership is trying to capitalise on the present momentum. It will always remain a mystery.
I am sure the party is doing its own stock taking. As analysts we can only go with what is in the public domain.
Do watch my upcoming conversation with Karthik Muralidharan. He sheds some interesting light on these trends, including vote bank politics built around religion and caste.
This election showed us that nothing has really changed on the ground for Indian politics. In fact, national election should have focus on the agenda for the nation and which party has better agenda than the others rather than issues like person, caste, religion etc. But we have not developed this political voting behaviour at all. We mix local, district, state level issues with national elections and vote!! This is not a good augury for India to be developed country by 2047!!! Some must take up this task of educating our voters. Perhaps MP should be nominated after a party wibs the election from the constituency. Further, to increase voting, either double the EVMs in the major cities n towns or better introduce online voting through bank aadhar linkage. We must draw our lazy middle classes to vote. Modi has a lot on his plate in next 10 years. He must deliver as we have no one else as of now to do all this.
Thank you for your thoughts. Agree with you that the absent middle class, especially from metros and Tier-1 towns, at the ballot is hugely frustrating. I believe India is in transition. It will take some time to shed our tribal beliefs defined around religion and caste. Like Karthik Muralidharan pointed out--something he has reiterated in an upcoming interview with me that will be telecast on StratNews Global--there is a growing premium on governance.
The trick for political parties championing good governance is to stitch the right coalition till then. It is imperative that they stay on in power to guide India's transition.
Your article Anil was an interesting read Anil. Thank you. Just a few points I thought would be useful to analyze and summarize the election results - 1. Religious propagation will not be the main reason for supporting by the majority community. 2. The I.N.D.I.A. alliance worked in UP and Maharashtra. 3. Giving tickets to defectors from other parties, accepting a tainted leader like Ajit Pawar and making him Dy CM in Maharashtra, demoralized the loyalists within BJP. 4. Making unnecessary derogatory remarks about Muslims, in order to please certain sections in the majority community, was a mistake. In 2019, the triple talaq issue had brought sections of the Muslim community, especially women, closer to BJP. That prudence was missing this time. 5. However, the results in Odisha, Karnataka, MP, Bihar, Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Rajasthan Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh were very encouraging for the BJP and the results in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Kerala were below expectations. The State governments in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha were further areas of consolidation. The huge infrastructure development expenditure in UP, has not delivered the anticipated election result, as the investment has not translated into jobs; but perhaps in the future this may bear fruit. Overall the election results of 2024 are still in the process of complete analysis, as it is a complex verdict. Look forward to your write up next Monday 😊
Dear Gautam,
Thank you for your thoughts. Your points are well taken. Though I am not sure we can splice voting preferences nationally. Simply because what works well in one state will not work in another. In this general election, the BJP has actually done very well in expanding its footprint to Kerala and the South. Agree with you about turncoats being taken in to speed up inorganic growth of the BJP. It is a tricky call at the same time. The BJP is on the ascendancy. It is already the principal pole of Indian politics and is the party to beat. Guess the BJP leadership is trying to capitalise on the present momentum. It will always remain a mystery.
I am sure the party is doing its own stock taking. As analysts we can only go with what is in the public domain.
Do watch my upcoming conversation with Karthik Muralidharan. He sheds some interesting light on these trends, including vote bank politics built around religion and caste.
Look forward to your continued participation.
Best
Anil
This election showed us that nothing has really changed on the ground for Indian politics. In fact, national election should have focus on the agenda for the nation and which party has better agenda than the others rather than issues like person, caste, religion etc. But we have not developed this political voting behaviour at all. We mix local, district, state level issues with national elections and vote!! This is not a good augury for India to be developed country by 2047!!! Some must take up this task of educating our voters. Perhaps MP should be nominated after a party wibs the election from the constituency. Further, to increase voting, either double the EVMs in the major cities n towns or better introduce online voting through bank aadhar linkage. We must draw our lazy middle classes to vote. Modi has a lot on his plate in next 10 years. He must deliver as we have no one else as of now to do all this.
Dear Surendra,
Thank you for your thoughts. Agree with you that the absent middle class, especially from metros and Tier-1 towns, at the ballot is hugely frustrating. I believe India is in transition. It will take some time to shed our tribal beliefs defined around religion and caste. Like Karthik Muralidharan pointed out--something he has reiterated in an upcoming interview with me that will be telecast on StratNews Global--there is a growing premium on governance.
The trick for political parties championing good governance is to stitch the right coalition till then. It is imperative that they stay on in power to guide India's transition.
Look forward to your continued participation.
Best
Anil